Salt Water…

DLR / Sports / / 43 Comments

Update on sailing…

After I’ve gotten over my original and initial WWE immediate charge, (That’s an actual medical term for a guy over 20. It happens when we see automobiles, hunting dogs, firearms, hot babes, sailboats… you getting the picture? Adventure, fury, fighting the elements, etc.) I learned the game of Go. I’m a permanent lifetime student because you perfect that which is in yourself to calculate the future. It’s that simple. It’s a habit you can only perfect if you practice it over and over. Let’s look at sailing in 2050…

I know somebody that just had a little girl and when that little girl is 30 years old, there isn’t going to be a Miami as we know it, no New York City, no Selma, Alabama, no London, no Yokohama Bay, no Boston Harbor, no Battery Park. The water may not be to the building tops but there aren’t going to be any beaches. Venice, Italy already floods up to your knees 4 or more times a year. New water levels paired with the rising cost of fuel and its lack of availability will change our way of transportation.

Let’s talk about a cup of coffee too because in 2050 there will be less than half of the coffee crops there are today. It takes up too much water, requires too many people, has a huge environmental imprint and there won’t be enough land to grow it. There will be four times as many people and half as much coffee that’s available today. How much is coffee now going to cost? That will be our basic energy resource. Every energy source after that falls apart: gas, wind and solar.

With water levels rising how will we navigate the new third of the world that will be flooded? The ice caps will have successfully melted themselves with our assistance by the time that little girl is 30 years old. Are you really going to do it like they do on “Wicked Tuna” and fill up your boat tanks to gas out to your job? Highly unlikely since the cost of fuel will cost more than your cup of coffee. If you have even a dime’s worth of fuel, you’re going to save it for an emergency. A DIRE emergency like powering up your cell phone in order to call a helicopter if there’s one even remotely near to you. Anybody who’s been through Hurricane Katrina knows I’m not kidding around. Anybody who lives in New York knows I’m not kidding either.

Do I believe the idea that a huge flood is on its way right now? No. The salt water is eating away at the basements of The Fontainebleau Hotel and The Raleigh Hotel. My mom was pregnant with me in 1954 and stayed at The Raleigh Hotel with my Grandmother. I stayed at The Raleigh Hotel for a couple summers too. It’s great and… it’s going to be gone. How will you get from there up to the injured bird sanctuary an hour inland? (That was my charitable contribution. I said “I’m not going to give money. I’ll lend my muscle…” and I shoveled pelican shit.) That’s where you’re finally going to step on some little spit of land if you’re heading from Miami or South Beach. This is why sailing is going to take absolute precedence over any other form of conveyance in the littoral areas of the entire earth. The beach, the cay, the bay, the lagoon, all that is going to completely change. If you dug the lagoon before, you’re going to LOVE IT in 50 years because it’s going to be about eight feet higher and there will be two miles more of it in all fucking directions.

How do you get from here to there? Do you fly? Well… not unless you’re a millionaire who lives in the high country of Colorado. Are you taking a train? I love comedy, but not now… You’re going to sail and it’s not going to be powered by fuel and it’s not going to be solar powered (though your kitchen will be). The sailboat itself is going to look a lot like the AC72 that’s fighting for first place up in San Francisco. Sailing will take on a fashion show sense. “I went and saw Gaultier. I could barely spell the name, much less reason out the Cirque du Soleil that you see on the runway,” but from some of the whole collection you might go, “Oh, well that was a cool suit,” “Those are nice shoes,” “I’d wear glasses like that.” That’s what’s happening with sailing right now.

Speed is taking precedence because that’s the WWE, that’s what my inner child is going to recognize. Everything we’re learning about ultra high masts, composite materials and fast sailing is how you’re going to get from Boston to South Carolina to Miami. If you wanna meet me in Houston, that’s how you’re getting there too. You’re going to pack up the kid’s wetsuits, buy some of my sunblock and set sail. The idea of my mom packing me up to take the train from Massachusetts to Chicago will be gone. Even if you have the kind of fuel to power a train, it got there by boat. If the fuel came from Cuba (because they still have some trees left), the boat went all the way to Colorado without stopping. All new waterways, all new water levels. I predict that what the steam train meant to this country 150 years ago is what sailing means to tomorrow.


A speculative rendering showing what a hundred-year storm could briefly do to the Meatpacking District decades from now, when sea levels have risen several feet. Photo-Illustration: MDI Digital/Jonny Maxfield/Cultura Exclusive/Getty Images


  1. Robert Reed  —  September 15, 2016 at 10:57 am

    Love you Dave, Hope all is well with ya!
    RJR Atlanta

  2. MICKEY NUTTALL  —  September 15, 2016 at 10:58 am

    Water Sportz!!!

  3. Devon Wickens  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:07 am

    Very well said, insightful and informative. Rising sea levels are definitely a sobering fact. On the lighter side, I also remember staying at the Raleigh with my mother and grandmother many moons over Miami ago.

  4. Damian  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:11 am

    Thanks for your insight Dave. What a mind…

  5. Michael  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:14 am


  6. TMS  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:20 am

    DLR going deep….

  7. Doug Doescher  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:22 am

    No one with a mind like DLR, a true rennaisance man. It terrifies me to think that my feeble old self will need to be a skilled sailor. It terrifies me because it is surely true.

  8. Lia  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:31 am

    Oh, no…all the best nightclubs, washed away…what a shonda.
    Always educating us – what’s next, David?

  9. Scott Roberts  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:32 am

    We were told by the enviro-statism movement that those places would already be underwater, yet the arctic ice is increasing global temps are not increasing.

  10. James  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:46 am

    I’ll “sail away with someone’s daughter”!

  11. Lori  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:51 am

    Dave, I could listen to you all day!

  12. Maggie  —  September 15, 2016 at 11:57 am


  13. Lisa  —  September 15, 2016 at 12:07 pm

    Hello stranger it’s me Lisa Castillo Alex Hall introduced us and Karen Valdez would love to send pictures

  14. Stephanie  —  September 15, 2016 at 12:32 pm

    David, thank you for your charity for helping people, animals and the birds <3 ( at most I love what you have written about your helping the birds <3 ! ) !!!!!!! It's all true what you talking about… I know it too :/ …and these floods are / were made of humans. And yes, I know what you will tell me also still … the masses o people who overfloats this planet and their greed for consumption as they exploit the soil more … yes we all have less or more greed inside us, that's a fact. The album "Floodland" of the Sisters of Mercy is one of my favorites ( I have it since I was 17 or 18 ). The Sisters of Mercy / Andrew Eldich and also Doro Pesch (When East meets West) have predicted the fall of the USSR and the DDR … Music / Musicians sometimes opens the channels for prophecy, farsightedness and the advance-idea. Because music (musicians) is a gift from G-d to us humans, and even to the animals / nature <3 .

    • Stephanie  —  September 15, 2016 at 1:14 pm

      Dear, you should know, no I will never abuse another man to get next to you! And if you really are the one who I see last year, I was so confused to see a person who looks so similar like you – and in this situation who came from out of nothing I was not strong enough to find it out , after that I lost the half of my hair ( until now all was growing new again) <3 . Houston

  15. Sean  —  September 15, 2016 at 1:01 pm

    Dave’s been hangin with al gore

    • Stephanie  —  September 15, 2016 at 1:32 pm

      Dear Sean, David does it right – I like Al Gore too, he is a good one.

  16. Sandy S.  —  September 15, 2016 at 4:37 pm

    Yes and imagine what you said as a elderly person, it will be hard for everyone young and old.

    • jst4horses  —  September 15, 2016 at 5:46 pm

      I do not think it will be hard………..I think having worked at Cal Tech, and knowing many scientists, and having done a PhD paper about Al Gore and his programs, that we as humans have to get things together and NOT have all this bad happen. For one thing, people put pressure on the idiots that be, and they stopped testing nukes for the british tribe ???? why were THEY testing under American lands………..under the poles…………..will the freeze come back? The scientists say it will, IF we do more things. Steyer has his programs and many things are being changed that can help. There are many new programs restoring nature, including the rain forests destroyed by Monsanto and others, including mining companies for copper. If we want copper, we can cancel pennies around the world, and gather them all up, and recycle all the old pipe and wire and have a GLUT of copper world wide,, but who listens to scientists…………..My friend’s daughter does diving for NOAA and helps remove those miles across and miles deep of plastic floating in islands around the global seas…………all it takes if for ALL of us to recyle plastics, and use the money from the recycling to pay for NOAA and others to get more of it out of the sea…………..

      Rather than learning to sail for when we are in our nineties……..I think we are better off to get the problems fixed and get rid of the corrupt politicians who have let this happen, it just takes getting people out to vote, and vote them out…………Many politicians are tired of being threatened, and seeing others bought out and nothing done about it………maybe if we stopped calling the good guys whisteblowers, and told the MEDIA to report the news, not make it up………..we might get things done. And for all those who just want to be angst filled and do nothing, it is NOT the bad guys who are doing this, it is those who just do NOTHING. If I can tell high risk kids, and broken up veterans not to kill themselves, but instead get into something, even just picking up one bag of trash a day, or using no gas or oil for a week, all together, and getting OUR people power out there………..I can say it to anyone else. We can give up and say boo hoo, or we can stand up and get rid of the jerks, and clean up our earth. Tomorrow is the United Nations Peace Day moment of silence around the world, on the 21st is the real day, and hopefully billions, all over the world will stop and spend ONE MINUTE of quiet and peace towards a peaceful and restored world. More info on this at the Jane Goodall site.

  17. JDF  —  September 15, 2016 at 5:34 pm

    Say what you will about DLR, but one thing for sure.. DLR has his finger on the pulse of the world. More importantly Dave cares and its evident.

    Rock on

  18. Dana Lynne  —  September 15, 2016 at 5:42 pm

    Yep. Our grandchildren and great-grandchildren will pay the price for previous generations’ irresponsible living. Sad…

  19. Danny  —  September 15, 2016 at 6:04 pm

    Boat shows will turn into floating modular homes and I picture parents paddleboarding their kids to school. NASA will wind up refocusing on underwater living and team up with Scripps Institute & Woods Hole.

  20. Stebe Roth  —  September 15, 2016 at 6:35 pm

    Dave, love reading your blog and those are prescient views as to rising sea levels. Looking forward to reading more…

  21. John  —  September 15, 2016 at 7:12 pm

    We outta
    Outta Space
    I suggest you all get a Different Kind of Truth Dlr getting all serous and cerebral. A under appreciated song and album it’s all here what he wrote about in the blog outta some in a song -DLR hitting it outta the park once again and go home to fuck the prom queen.

    Van Halen
    Need no polar bear to scare me,
    no Eskimo to share with me his fate.

    Woo! We outta space

    No blog-o-sphere to sell me.
    No dolphin needs to tell me.
    No starving kid
    to make the case.

    Counter blast, interstellar facial full.
    Bumper sticker on my rocket’s ass:
    “Go Home. The Earth Is Full.”

    Outta space, Outta space
    Outta space, Outta space

    Eighty acres of one stop shopping
    has somewhat changed the place.

    Woo! We outta space

    I do not refuse it.
    I am guilty, I do use it.
    I am the reason
    we outta space.

    Counter blast, interstellar facial full.
    Bumper sticker on my rocket’s ass:
    “Go Home. The Earth Is Full.”

    Outta space, Outta space
    Outta space, Outta space

    Danger rides the web tonight.
    Burst mode dynamite.
    Spinning up my Facebook page
    and I’ll ride out towards the outer maze.

    The future ain’t what it used to be.
    Time to change my galaxy in case
    we outta space!

    Trouble-free Earth despocrats made
    Mother Nature piss her pants and when
    That’s human way.

    Counter blast, interstellar facial full.
    Bumper sticker on my rocket’s ass:
    “Go Home. The Earth Is Full.”

    Outta space, Outta space
    Outta space, Outta space

    • Jon  —  September 16, 2016 at 2:47 pm

      You hit the nail on the head with “Outta Space”, as I was thinking the same damn thing.

    • Steve Roth  —  September 24, 2016 at 1:39 pm

      ADKOT is a great album. Dave’s lyrics are, of course, cerebral and funny. Love the lyrics in “Stay Frosty”

  22. 5150CENT  —  September 15, 2016 at 9:15 pm

    I love this new Hunter S Thompson-ish cool culture gangsta blog Dave is doing!
    Translated -the new Van Halen album will be called 2050
    In the future we will travel like the pasture
    Kevin Costner > Nostradamus
    Waterboarding ?
    Bottomline- In 2050 we will surf sail and water board our way to Fashion Shows if we wanna meet the Hottest chicks

  23. Grits  —  September 16, 2016 at 2:30 am


  24. Pattie Ong  —  September 16, 2016 at 4:15 am


  25. Elaine Kay  —  September 16, 2016 at 5:00 am

    Comment awaiting moderation? Here I went through all that effort to post? LOL!

  26. Elaine Kay  —  September 16, 2016 at 5:10 am

    Anyway my last post that didn’t get posted because I committed the cardinal sin of including a link suggested that you get both sides of the scientific data.

    That includes the politics behind both sides of the argument… before coming to a conclusion. My father was an engineer for NASA. I learned from him to do your research well.

    Alarmist scientific opinions from the 1960’s and 70’s have already been proven to be overstated…


  27. Dynamo Danny Russell  —  September 16, 2016 at 9:58 am

    Love ya Dave. Outta Space is another great nugget of poetry by my heroes – it has several levels of meanings and a deeper consciousness than most would expect from VH. Keep writing, living, and rocking Mr. Roth. Peace:-)

  28. Gina  —  September 16, 2016 at 12:46 pm

    It’s a shame that we have exhausted the resources of millions of years in a few generations. Sailing is really a good idea (or sails and a propulsion for maneuvering), not only in the future – Now. The water is currently so warm that even container ships can temporarily use the Northeast Passage.

  29. Inés  —  September 17, 2016 at 5:07 am

    You are being really apocalyptic. It´s true that the natural resources aren´t limitless but with more global responsibility and a conscienced cosumption; our planet should last many more centuries.

  30. Mariette  —  September 18, 2016 at 4:52 pm

    Am I tardy? Caught up in Newton’s eye Backstages! Similar to the cyclone from decades past…your stills hold me captive.

    It’s the salt, not the fry. Sea salt and lots of it! If the lagoon ended up being anything like the waters of Waikoloa, then your sunscreen would be my mainstream. I’d fasten kayaks together to soak up the rays by day and paddle by moonbeam at night.

  31. SLN  —  September 28, 2016 at 4:39 pm

    I love Dave more than anyone and only hope to get some new VH music with him in the lead. But global warming, must we say is a falsehood. Do you know the ice caps really are not melting, can we mention the erroneous temperature readings. Has anyone look at the scare of global cooling in the 70s and now that thought is coming back around by some of these same scientists that are screaming that oceans are rising (which they are not). I an in a doctorate program myself and disagree with all you alarmists.
    I respect Dave and all he has done, would love to sit and chat about the world and human perspectives. But on this topic, I completely disagree, I do not know why he cannot see clearly.

  32. Shannon  —  September 29, 2016 at 12:58 pm

    You mentioned Selma, AL!! My hometown! I didn’t think you even knew that place existed. How awesome is that!!

  33. Uwe  —  October 4, 2016 at 12:03 pm

    Problem is not rising water. Problem is that the egomaniacs that rule (and even get elected) have the power to destroy the planet directly, in an instant. And they will.

  34. JJ Rockitt  —  October 7, 2016 at 7:17 am

    Dave or the (watery) grave!

  35. Greg Kuppinger  —  October 10, 2016 at 6:46 am

    Happy Birthday!!! Fellow October Tenthian! Hope you have a rockin day!

  36. Carolien  —  November 21, 2017 at 4:34 am

    Big Dutch kiss from 2 feet under sea level X Carolien

  37. Neil Clayman  —  April 12, 2018 at 6:55 pm

    Its a very possible idea but when/if the coast line erodes, won’t people just move and live further inland? In other words, at least for the United States it will stay intact minus parts of the coasts. As far as how ti power everything, engines and such will still need to be used so solar, and transforming ocean water and the wind would have to be the new( and hopefully just as efficient) forms of power. Am I wrong? And as far as losing land, yes it is real but most of Back Bay in Boston and Key West is man-made landfill. SO we CAN make more land.

    It could also very well be said that the earth is tilting on its axis and thus closer to the equator giving us generally speaking, milder winters and warmer summers. What did Edgar Cayce say about all this?

  38. Cecilia Ciaschi  —  November 15, 2018 at 2:27 pm

    I love you David!!!!!Kisses from Florence!


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